Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 11.902640 13.335848 14.887176 16.693365 18.741335 20.994571 23.665879
2025-05-04 9.874392 11.873360 14.208983 17.149424 20.766453 25.088117 30.669459
2025-05-11 8.175553 10.414639 13.200417 16.943297 21.874334 28.195096 36.985205
2025-05-18 6.946988 9.289405 12.362535 16.727270 22.828019 31.142279 43.484731
2025-05-25 6.022323 8.395538 11.654893 16.513448 23.666635 33.959304 50.159254
2025-06-01 5.330484 7.708837 11.110179 16.403705 24.569763 36.912399 57.406797
2025-06-08 4.792742 7.163118 10.678846 16.368455 25.527753 40.012595 65.288942
2025-06-15 4.480441 6.907513 10.633617 16.892407 27.388352 44.728552 76.487432
2025-06-22 4.077695 6.460367 10.231124 16.777415 28.163041 47.725695 85.158284
2025-06-29 3.678375 5.972436 9.703820 16.378597 28.380131 49.756804 92.349198
2025-07-06 3.365759 5.592711 9.309997 16.151380 28.849281 52.261722 100.771199
2025-07-13 3.213731 5.467310 9.329822 16.648909 30.685431 57.510207 115.406178
2025-07-20 3.068342 5.345219 9.353249 17.176307 32.688783 63.444429 132.685157
2025-07-27 2.892714 5.152252 9.230578 17.416050 34.168673 68.566753 149.206287
2025-08-03 2.661199 4.834495 8.845866 17.101085 34.485170 71.330958 160.958164
2025-08-10 2.460606 4.555481 8.505990 16.834540 34.863953 74.275905 173.674548
2025-08-17 2.284177 4.306115 8.198367 16.596998 35.269964 77.331842 187.229546
2025-08-24 2.137930 4.102150 7.960048 16.476346 35.915046 81.020409 203.087374
2025-08-31 2.013568 3.930415 7.769749 16.436122 36.734770 85.235521 221.155368
2025-09-07 1.953791 3.884158 7.832353 16.960118 38.942392 93.157615 250.980585
2025-09-14 1.840318 3.716420 7.623243 16.843545 39.589896 97.258121 270.813832
2025-09-21 1.712405 3.507427 7.306694 16.442522 39.480237 99.378816 285.248390
2025-09-28 1.609599 3.343712 7.074136 16.214112 39.775914 102.615849 303.759277